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Demand forecasting for cement and building materials.

Forecast despatches by district, dealer and depot. The monsoon arrives on a different date each year, and the forecast waits for it.

The app, in your trade's words.

This demo carries 1,300 dealers and 55 months of invented history.

The demo dashboard for cement and building materials: the year's forecast, actuals so far and a chart of actual against forecast.

What the pack sets.

Who plans
Sales and logistics planner
Channel
Trade, Non-trade
Sales tree
Zone, State, District and Dealer or Project customer
Supply tree
Plant and Depot
Catalogue
Plant-origin items in six families, such as PPC, PPC premium, OPC 53
Units
MT and Bags
Calendar
A festival window that moves with Diwali. Monsoon onset by zone, not known ahead.
Review steps
Territory sales officer, then State sales head, then Logistics planner
Output
Daily despatch plan

What is hard here.

  • The monsoon postpones building. It does not cancel it. The trough moves with the onset date.
  • Trade and non-trade behave differently. Dealers buy steadily, and projects buy in lumps.
  • The same grade from two plants is two items, because the freight differs.

Try this in the demo.

  1. Switch the unit from tonnes to bags.
  2. Open the Plant-origin item tab.
  3. Read Calendar drivers. The monsoon onset and the festival both cut despatches.