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Demand forecasting for agri-inputs.

Forecast fertilisers, crop protection and seeds apart. Each follows the sowing calendar, and the calendar follows the rain.

The app, in your trade's words.

This demo carries 720 wholesalers and 55 months of invented history.

The demo dashboard for agri-inputs: the year's forecast, actuals so far and a chart of actual against forecast.

What the pack sets.

Who plans
Commercial and logistics planner
Business
Fertilisers, Crop protection, Seeds
Sales tree
Zone, State, District and Wholesaler or Distributor
Supply tree
Plant or port and Warehouse
Catalogue
Products and packs in five families, such as Urea, DAP, NPK complexes
Units
MT and rupees crore; KL and rupees lakh; Packets and rupees lakh
Calendar
Sowing onset by zone, not known ahead.
Review steps
District sales officer, then State marketing manager, then Commercial planner
Output
Monthly supply plan and liquidation tracker

What is hard here.

  • Sales follow sowing, and sowing follows the monsoon. A late onset moves the whole season.
  • Placement into the channel is not sale to the farmer.
  • Seed sells in a few weeks of the year.

Try this in the demo.

  1. Switch the business to Seeds and look at May and June.
  2. Read Calendar drivers for the sowing onset.
  3. Open a state and read its districts.